at 2011 Peak Internet Access

Internet have been considered so important in Finland, Spain and Estonia so that Internet access is seen as the right of citizens protected by law. Internet users continues to increase. In 2010, the launch of Apple iPad computers and other touch screen, making surfing the Internet becomes more enjoyable and instinctive. At the same time, a number of smart phone operating systems such as Android from Google, more and expand mobile network coverage.

While in developed countries the Internet is everywhere, in developing countries was only 20 percent of individuals who use the Internet. Low penetration, accompanied by ever-cheaper communications devices, the ability to access the Internet through mobile networks and the increasingly widespread broadband coverage, will further strengthen the assumption that the total world online population will keep increasing for several decades.

The problem this raises big questions about access and the culmination of the Internet. Two Internet expert, Samuel Arbesman and Rachel Courtland, delivered a prediction about the future of the Internet in 2011 and the years that followed.

In a prediction that was published in New Scientist, these two men say, to some, the Internet is still considered very new, so although the actual number of Internet users never stagnant for several decades. But the Internet is mature enough to grow up to then slow down immediately.

Known as a point of change in working procedures, this milestone took place in any adoption curve, when the number of new adopters begin to decrease every year. "To know whether this may happen on the Internet in 2011, we menskenariokan how the online world population growth since 1990," said Samuel Arbesman and Rachel Courtland.

It seems that the growth trend is consistent with the logistic curve, ie a pattern that is used to model many phenomena, from the population of bacteria to tumor growth. "Assuming that the rate of increase in adoption continues to follow the logistic curve, we were able to estimate when this adoption will reach 50 percent," they said.

In a logistic curve, it always corresponds to point change in working procedures. "Our calculation shows that we still will reach a point higher again in 2013," said Arbesman and Courtland. They continue, the incidence did not occur in 2011, but people will soon find out that the number of access of the Internet will be relatively fewer than now. Internet access will eventually reach 100 percent of the world's population, at least 80 percent as happened in the U.S. now, and when that happens the world will reach the point of change in 2012

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